Monday, April 25, 2016

Nifty is Sitting on a Launchpad : Highs May Soon Be Tested

Time Tuned Nifty

Time Tuned Nifty for May to July 2016

I had written my views on Nifty in my last post Nifty 31 March 2016: The Rise May End on 02 Apr 2016 and had perceived that Nifty would make a high on 02-04 Apr, a low on 08 Apr and would then make a high on 22 Apr.  The perceptions were more or less proved to be right with minor aberrations.

Now that 22 Apr is past, a review is necessary.  In my last post, I had also stated that a low may come in mid May and could see 6660 levels, however, this may not happen now at all.  To my surprise, the move in April, breached the falling channel of 9119-6824 and that is a major event.  While a low may come in mid May, but it is unlikely to go that deep and may bounce back from the LTL of the rising channel from 6824.  Till this channel is breached downwards and sustained, trading for an all time high should be the motive of any trader.

As I perceive,  at the time of writing this post ie at 7840 to about 7810 is the level to go long in Nifty.  SL could be below the LTL of the rising channel.   I feel that Nifty is ready for a 1000 points or more on the higher side.  The first halt may happen in the second half of May and the final high could be made in July.  I would not be surprised, if 8100 is touched in Apr expiry, but that would be a very close call that I would avoid.

Taking positions through 8000CE of May expiry should fetch substantial returns.  Caution is advised near 8000, where a covering PE through 7800 strike could be taken.  All the best.


120 comments:

  1. https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10204877296972278&id=1835286898
    Interesting.

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  2. Thank you for sharing your precious insights Spr ji....

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  4. Amazing entry at bottom and reversal..hats off !

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  5. Touring to Jaipur. Unavailable till 01 May. Those still stuck with Apr positions, should get out at or after 1300 hrs on 27th. Those in May expiry, should take covering positions at or after 1300 hrs tomorrow. All the best and see you all on 01 May or later.

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  6. Sir Nifty after touching 7990 now back to near 7800-7830 zone. Please update, if possible ..

    Thanks a lot.

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  7. Sir,the lower boarder of rising TL is at 7720?

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    1. I will put it near 7750 for now. But it is dipping down and hence as the time passes, it will keep going down.

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  8. Possibility : 7885-7900 by 1200-1300 tomorrow. Sharp back off to 7820, which should be re-entry zone for longs.

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  9. thanks sir,What is the possible high you are looking at in May expiry

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  10. hello sir,whats the call in nifty now

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  11. Hopefully we will go higher now?

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  12. IMHP, Nifty is likely to continue the correction. Shorts may be initiated around 8270 with SL of 8280 or above the recent high, for a target of 8000/7800. The corrective may continue till mid Jul and then resume the upward journey for another high(which may test all time high) in second half of August.

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    Replies
    1. Sir,
      8270 not seen so far...Brexit event hyped in media..what should we do ? please guide.....Thanks !

      Regards,

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    2. I hope your concerns got addressed today.

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  13. Falcon brother... Why less updates now a days.... ? Whats wrong? kindly post ur views.. If possible, make a whatsapp group or braodcast channel, where u can updates to ur followers. Thank you.Take care.

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  14. Dear sir,we have to wait for 8270 to short or high already done

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  15. Dear Time Tuned Bro,
    KInd request with an Honest mind - please update the Blog periodically in a regular interval as it is your Blog Page & you Owe it!!!

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    1. Dear unknown, I do not think I owe anything to anyone. Else I would be sitting in London. I believe that is where such people are headed.

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  16. Sir,as the stop of 8280 was hit today,what position shud we take now.

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    1. I am unable to see detailed charts. But at a cursory glance, it looks best to be on the sidelines till 12 Jul. Longs need to be cautious and shorts could initiated for a dip below 8125. I would expect a test of 7900 or so by 12 Jul.

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  17. sir,7900 almost reached,do we go down more by July 12th or the fall is done now

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  18. 8250-8260 by 1500-1515 hrs today and then it may fall to test 7925.

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  19. Sir,

    Can i initiate shorts tomorrow ? Any sl please..Thanks

    Regards,

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  20. Sir,u mean by expiry we can see 7925,?

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  21. Sir what should be SL for short around 8250-60? Thanks..

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  22. Sir what should be SL for short around 8250-60? Thanks..

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  23. Looks like Nifty has broken on the upside. May go up to 8620-8650. Appreciate your views sir!

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  24. Sir,we are constantly trading over 8300for the last few sessions.Plz update on next move.
    Regards

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  25. Hello falcon sir,Wud like your views for this site.its going good and resultsare good。
    https://timingnifty.wordpress.com

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  26. Around 8550 on 14 Jul in this rise and then it should cool off to 8470/8300/8050 by 21 Jul.

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  27. In next hour or so, the time for a high would end. SLs for long should tighten at this juncture. Shorts may be initiated with SL a tick above the high made in this rise.

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  28. Should be ending around 8540. Pretty close now. Shorted with 8400 PE long.

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  29. Hold your position for now. Let the high get established. AND 8540 is not on closing basis. Already done 8551, which IMHO is almost ideal to short. For now 8570 may be treated as SL. Should shift to 1 tick above the high made, once Nifty dips below 8506.

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  30. Also do not loose sight of the fact that 23-24 August is a high zone. This may see 8700/9200 or higher. 21 July being the next visible low zone, I intend to reverse via Aug expiry CEs on 21st July.

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    Replies
    1. Sir,

      21 July tomorrow ...low zone view valid or modified ? Please update...

      Thanks!

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  31. 8470 is the confirmation zone for further dip. 8288 could be the extreme of this fall.

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  32. Sir,is the stoploss for shorts hit as high was 8594 today

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  33. 1430 today could be the low zone. 8470-8450 should be the target.

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  34. Sir,

    8500 approx touched so far and low time zone over? Any shift in LOW time zone or levels ? Next ? Thanks ..

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  35. Sir,

    Nifty running up...any update please..

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    1. Not really. I will still wait for 22 Aug, till the rising channel is intact. 8380-8350 should be an absolutely firm support for an year from now. I am looking for targets of 8900/9050/9500 by 22 Aug 16.

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  36. Replies
    1. Indeed, but we all expected it. Didn't we?

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  37. Above 8680, there should be a sharp spike. Below 8650, there may be a push fro 8560 or so.

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  38. thnx sir,that means 8560 maybe a buy zone for higher targets by 21st aug

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    Replies
    1. I think so. 8540-8560 band should be an entry zone for longs.

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  39. 8540 saved on closing basis.

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  40. First halt should come on or after 11 Aug 2016. 1-2 days of corrective and then another high on 22 Aug 2016.

    Looking at the charts, I can conclude that GST will be passed on 8th and RBI would reduce the ROI beyond the general expectation.

    In EW Parlance, we should be ready to see 3rd of 3rd of 3rd. SHould be pretty fast and long. 8518 should be SL for now.

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    Replies
    1. Sir,

      11 August done today. GST passed, 8518 safe. Please update ...

      Thanks a lot !

      Regards,

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  41. sir,what can be the low in this down wave

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  42. As long as 8450-8460 band is intact or till 22 August, I am waiting for 9250. Exit will be at one of these events, if and when they come. Or else I shall bow out below 8450.

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  43. On or after 22 Aug 2016, preferably near 9250, I will look for shorting opportunity.

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  44. Thanks sir.do u cover stocks too.if so plz give update on morepen and why is it falling despite gud results

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  45. Sir 600 points in just 5 days is it possible?

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  46. Sir 600 points in just 5 days is it possible?

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  47. Sir,
    Please update...if possible.
    Thanks.. ..

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  48. I suppose 22 Aug will be a new high & exit point for all longs. Am I right?

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  49. Is 8770 a likely target till 23 August?

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  50. Keep SLs tight for longs. Look for shorting opportunities, irrespective of what it does, after 22nd.

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  51. Sir,

    Please give next low date or levels for shorting.. Ideal Day or time to initiate short as per you ? Thanks a lot !

    Regards,

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  52. Rashmi Ji ...

    i feel you also have good knowledge of timing. You have been sharing some time blogs here. Please post your views also... Thanks

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    Replies
    1. The best one is the one here.its simple and unbiased.

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  53. Sir plz update for latest views on nifty

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  54. sir,the launch pad u had referred to for nifty in april at 7740 has now shifted to 8492?

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  55. Sir,

    Nifty made a new 52 week high today. Please update..Thanks

    Regards,

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  56. Sir in view of missle test by North Korea plz update as world markets are falling big.

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    Replies
    1. Broader trend remains bullish. Any decline should be short-lived. Breach of channel support would be the first indication of any imminent change of the trend.
      EW patterns are complicated and may be part of initial move of a very long wave.
      Shorting should be avoided.

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  57. Sir,

    If possible, please update... Thanks.

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  58. Sir plz update as we are near lower end of channel.what is the time analysis.

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  59. Unable to do a thorough check. Possibly, a backtest of 8820-30 on 29 th open, then down to 8580 on 4-5th, back up 8700 or so(time yet to show up) and finish the corrective on 12-13th near 8450-70.

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  60. thanks sir,you think we can move upto 8820 on expiry day.As sentiments look bearish for now

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    Replies
    1. Yes. And if it does, it will be time to take positions for a larger fall for next expiry, which may take a pause or end on 12 th.

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  61. Sir you mean to say that corrective will pause near 12th or 13th to fall more for October expiry?

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  62. Sir spot on 8580 came today itself so now whats the call

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  63. Look for shorting opportunities till 12th. Longs only after that.

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  64. sir,one request,if time permits plz post a fresh post for nifty.
    thanks

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  65. Long either around 8450 or above 8750, whenever they reach. I will keep stoploss of 10 points in each case.

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  66. Ok sir,means 8450 to 8750 is no trade zone?

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    Replies
    1. Yes. With an exception that 8450 should be the level to go long.

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  67. Possibility of a test of 8697-8709 in next three days should be watched. If it sustains below these levels for next three days, or holds / dips below 8573 on 4th day, or holds / dips below 5th day from today, possibility of another fall would emerge. For now, it seems that lower side moves are very limited.

    On higher side, possibilities are bright for a test of 8709/8800/a new high.

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  68. 8605 tomorrow or 8595 on Monday is highly possible. A test of 8573/8586 in next couple of trading days is also likely. Below 8573, the fall will be deeper. On the higher side, today's high would be the decision zone. Above 8730-50, the target should be 8830/above 8970.

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  69. Sir,can we add longs around 8600 with stop of 8573.Currently don't have any position.

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  71. Falcon Sir,

    Please update your views. Crucial event ahead ..Thanks..

    Regards,

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  72. At 1450 hrs, I would go long for a target of 8680 on 10th. Possible entry point 8470.


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  73. Hilariously trumped. Now the possibility emerges for a visit to 8200/ below 8006 by 18/21 Nov 2016.

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  74. Falcon Sir,

    Sl and preferred entry zone for 8200 or below tgt ? Thanks..

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  75. SL just above the high made today. preferred entry between 8565-8598 for a target of 8360/8200/7990 by 21st.

    My plan is... to take position via 8300/8400 PEs near 8565 and cover it with 8600 CEs when it reaches 8360/8200.

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  76. Lows may have ended. We may soon see a rise towards 8500. First possibility could be at 1440 hrs.

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  77. Sir plz update the latest on nifty

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  80. Please blessed with your latest view on nifty

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